Is Jameer Nelson [Autograph] #168 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2004 SP Authentic · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Jameer Nelson [Autograph] #168 sell for $22.50, only $15.58 above the $6.92 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($16.72) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $6.92
Grade 9.5: $22.50
PSA 9: $16.72
Gem premium: 3.3×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Jameer Nelson [Autograph] #168: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$22.50	−$9.42	−$34.42	−$134
PSA 9	$16.72	−$15.20	−$40.20	−$140

Net = sale price − $6.92 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Jameer Nelson [Autograph] #168: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$18.16	−$38.76
50%	$19.61	−$37.31
75%	$21.05	−$35.87

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Jameer Nelson [Autograph] #168 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$22.50
9	$16.72

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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