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Noctowl BREAK (XY Black Star Promos XY136) — is it worth grading?

Is Noctowl BREAK worth grading?

Pokémon · XY Black Star Promos · XY136 · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A PSA 9 Noctowl BREAK sells for $99.67 against $14.88 raw: a $84.79 spread, 6.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($99.67) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$14.88
PSA 9
$99.67
PSA 9
$99.67
Gem premium
6.7×
As of
Aug 10, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Noctowl BREAK: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — PSA 9$99.67+$59.79+$34.79−$65.21
PSA 9$99.67+$59.79+$34.79−$65.21

Net = sale price − $14.88 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Noctowl BREAK: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$99.67+$34.79
50%$99.67+$34.79
75%$99.67+$34.79

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Noctowl BREAK graded prices by company and grade
GradePSACGC
9$99.67—
8—$10.50

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other XY Black Star Promos cards worth checking

Full set checklist →

Grading Noctowl BREAK — FAQ

Is Noctowl BREAK worth grading?

A PSA 9 Noctowl BREAK sells for $99.67 against $14.88 raw: a $84.79 spread, 6.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($99.67) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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