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Incineroar-GX (SM Black Star Promos SM38) — is it worth grading?

Is Incineroar-GX worth grading?

Pokémon · SM Black Star Promos · SM38 · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A AGS 10 Incineroar-GX sells for $1,020 against $14.91 raw: a $1,005 spread, 68× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($110) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$14.91
AGS 10
$1,020
PSA 9
$110
Gem premium
68×
As of
Aug 10, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Incineroar-GX: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — AGS 10$1,020+$980+$955+$855
PSA 9$110+$70.09+$45.09−$54.91
PSA 8$17.62−$22.29−$47.29−$147

Net = sale price − $14.91 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Incineroar-GX: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$338+$273
50%$565+$500
75%$793+$728

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Incineroar-GX graded prices by company and grade
GradePSACGCTAG
9$55.00——
8$17.62——
7—$2.00—
6—$5.50—
5——$7.00

Swipe the table for the other grading companies →

Run your own numbers

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Other SM Black Star Promos cards worth checking

Full set checklist →

Grading Incineroar-GX — FAQ

Is Incineroar-GX worth grading?

A AGS 10 Incineroar-GX sells for $1,020 against $14.91 raw: a $1,005 spread, 68× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($110) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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