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Smeargle (Lost Thunder 157/214) — is it worth grading?

Is Smeargle worth grading?

Pokémon · Lost Thunder · 157/214 · full price guide →

Strong grading candidate — 13× premium in PSA 8

A PSA 8 Smeargle sells for $87.00 against $6.69 raw: a $80.31 spread, 13× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($12.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$6.69
PSA 8
$87.00
PSA 9
$12.00
Gem premium
13×
As of
Sep 25, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Smeargle: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — PSA 8$87.00+$55.31+$30.31−$69.69
PSA 9$12.00−$19.69−$44.69−$145
PSA 8$87.00+$55.31+$30.31−$69.69

Net = sale price − $6.69 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Smeargle: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$30.75−$25.94
50%$49.50−$7.19
75%$68.25+$11.56

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 60%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Smeargle graded prices by company and grade
GradePSA
9$20.00
8$87.00
7$54.00

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other Lost Thunder cards worth checking

Full set checklist →

Grading Smeargle — FAQ

Is Smeargle worth grading?

A PSA 8 Smeargle sells for $87.00 against $6.69 raw: a $80.31 spread, 13× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($12.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

What gem rate makes grading Smeargle break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Smeargle breaks even when it gems about 60% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $12.00).

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