Is Shohei Ohtani [Black Foil] #1 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2025 Topps Takashi Murakami · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Shohei Ohtani [Black Foil] #1 sells for $8,596 against $1,851 raw: a $6,745 spread, 4.6× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($7,815) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $1,851
Grade 9.5: $8,596
PSA 9: $7,815
Gem premium: 4.6×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Shohei Ohtani [Black Foil] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$8,596	+$6,720	+$6,695	+$6,595
PSA 9	$7,815	+$5,939	+$5,914	+$5,814

Net = sale price − $1,851 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Shohei Ohtani [Black Foil] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$8,010	+$6,109
50%	$8,205	+$6,304
75%	$8,401	+$6,500

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Shohei Ohtani [Black Foil] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$8,596
9	$7,815

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

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Raw $519PSA 10 $3,038

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Raw $2,900PSA 10 $14,750

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Raw $650PSA 10 $2,850

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