Is Shohei Ohtani [Black Refractor] #HR50 worth grading?
Baseball · Baseball Cards 2024 Topps 50/50: Shohei Ohtani · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Shohei Ohtani [Black Refractor] #HR50 sells for $9,059 against $5,500 raw: a $3,559 spread, 1.6× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($8,235) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $5,500
- Grade 9.5
- $9,059
- PSA 9
- $8,235
- Gem premium
- 1.6×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $9,059 | +$3,534 | +$3,509 | +$3,409 |
| PSA 9 | $8,235 | +$2,710 | +$2,685 | +$2,585 |
Net = sale price − $5,500 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $8,441 | +$2,891 |
| 50% | $8,647 | +$3,097 |
| 75% | $8,853 | +$3,303 |
Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.
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Other 2024 Topps 50/50: Shohei Ohtani cards worth checking
Full set checklist →Grading Shohei Ohtani [Black Refractor] #HR50 — FAQ
Is Shohei Ohtani [Black Refractor] #HR50 worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Shohei Ohtani [Black Refractor] #HR50 sells for $9,059 against $5,500 raw: a $3,559 spread, 1.6× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($8,235) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
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