Is Caleb Williams [Gold] #1 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Caleb Williams [Gold] #1 sells for $5,400 against $2,990 raw: a $2,410 spread, 1.8× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($4,150) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $2,990
Grade 9.5: $5,400
PSA 9: $4,150
Gem premium: 1.8×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Caleb Williams [Gold] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$5,400	+$2,385	+$2,360	+$2,260
PSA 9	$4,150	+$1,135	+$1,110	+$1,010

Net = sale price − $2,990 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Caleb Williams [Gold] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$4,463	+$1,423
50%	$4,775	+$1,735
75%	$5,088	+$2,048

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Caleb Williams [Gold] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$5,400
9	$4,150

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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