Is Patrick Mahomes II [Lightning] #1 worth grading?
Football · Football Cards 2024 Panini Zenith Zoom Red · full price guide →
Grading rarely pays for this card
Grade 9.5 copies of Patrick Mahomes II [Lightning] #1 sell for $412, only $0.00 above the $473 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($375) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.
- Raw (NM)
- $473
- Grade 9.5
- $412
- PSA 9
- $375
- Gem premium
- 0.9×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $412 | −$85.68 | −$111 | −$211 |
| PSA 9 | $375 | −$123 | −$148 | −$248 |
Net = sale price − $473 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $384 | −$138 |
| 50% | $393 | −$129 |
| 75% | $403 | −$120 |
At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.
Full grade ladder
Raw conditions & history →Run your own numbers
Should I pay this?
Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.
Other 2024 Panini Zenith Zoom Red cards worth checking
Full set checklist →
![Justin Jefferson [Spokes] #6 2024 Panini Zenith Zoom Red card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/tm4AAeSwlvRqtXkQ/s-l500.jpg)
![Jalen Hurts [Spokes] #2 2024 Panini Zenith Zoom Red card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/M5sAAeSw~Rlp0wHw/s-l500.jpg)
Grading Patrick Mahomes II [Lightning] #1 — FAQ
Is Patrick Mahomes II [Lightning] #1 worth grading?
Grade 9.5 copies of Patrick Mahomes II [Lightning] #1 sell for $412, only $0.00 above the $473 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($375) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.
Best on iPhone & Android
Check your football card in the Midpoint app
Scan with your camera to measure centering to the millimeter, get an AI grade with corner and edge close-ups, see what your copy is worth, and track it in your portfolio. Free to start.
