Is Arda Guler [Wave Refractor] #AU-AG worth grading?
Soccer · Soccer Cards 2023 Topps Merlin UEFA Autograph · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Arda Guler [Wave Refractor] #AU-AG sells for $168 against $78.00 raw: a $90.00 spread, 2.2× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($153) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $78.00
- Grade 9.5
- $168
- PSA 9
- $153
- Gem premium
- 2.2×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $168 | +$65.00 | +$40.00 | −$60.00 |
| PSA 9 | $153 | +$49.50 | +$24.50 | −$75.50 |
Net = sale price − $78.00 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $156 | +$28.38 |
| 50% | $160 | +$32.25 |
| 75% | $164 | +$36.13 |
Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.
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Other 2023 Topps Merlin UEFA Autograph cards worth checking
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Grading Arda Guler [Wave Refractor] #AU-AG — FAQ
Is Arda Guler [Wave Refractor] #AU-AG worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Arda Guler [Wave Refractor] #AU-AG sells for $168 against $78.00 raw: a $90.00 spread, 2.2× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($153) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
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