$Sherman Douglas [Refractor] #94 (Basketball Cards 1996 Topps Chrome) — is it worth grading?$

Is Sherman Douglas [Refractor] #94 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 1996 Topps Chrome · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Sherman Douglas [Refractor] #94 sells for $463 against $32.00 raw: a $431 spread, 14× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($421) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $32.00
Grade 9.5: $463
PSA 9: $421
Gem premium: 14×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Sherman Douglas [Refractor] #94: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$463	+$406	+$381	+$281
PSA 9	$421	+$364	+$339	+$239
PSA 8	$7.54	−$49.46	−$74.46	−$174

Net = sale price − $32.00 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Sherman Douglas [Refractor] #94: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$432	+$350
50%	$442	+$360
75%	$453	+$371

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Sherman Douglas [Refractor] #94 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$463
9	$421
8	$7.54
7	$6.00

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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