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Tom Brady #154 (Football Cards 2004 Topps Chrome) — is it worth grading?

Is Tom Brady #154 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2004 Topps Chrome · full price guide →

Strong grading candidate — 15× premium in PSA 10

A PSA 10 Tom Brady #154 sells for $92.50 against $6.05 raw: a $86.45 spread, 15× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($29.66) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$6.05
PSA 10
$92.50
PSA 9
$29.66
Gem premium
15×
As of
Jul 11, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Tom Brady #154: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — PSA 10$92.50+$61.45+$36.45−$63.55
PSA 9$29.66−$1.39−$26.39−$126
PSA 8$19.99−$11.06−$36.06−$136

Net = sale price − $6.05 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Tom Brady #154: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$45.37−$10.68
50%$61.08+$5.03
75%$76.79+$20.74

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 42%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes

All centering standards
Tom Brady #154: top-grade value by grading company with centering tolerance
Grader10 sells forvs bestFront centering for a 10Back
BGS 10$120best55/4570/30
PSA 10$92.50−$27.5055/4575/25
CGC 10$56.00−$64.0055/4575/25
SGC 10$16.50−$10455/4575/25

Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.

Tom Brady #154 graded prices by company and grade
GradePSACGCBGSSGCGraded
10$92.50$56.00$120$16.50
9.5$52.88
9$29.66
8$19.99
7$10.26

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other 2004 Topps Chrome cards worth checking

Full set checklist

Grading Tom Brady #154 — FAQ

Is Tom Brady #154 worth grading?

A PSA 10 Tom Brady #154 sells for $92.50 against $6.05 raw: a $86.45 spread, 15× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($29.66) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

How much is a PSA 10 Tom Brady #154 worth compared with raw?

A PSA 10 Tom Brady #154 (Football Cards 2004 Topps Chrome) sells for about $92.50 versus $6.05 for a raw near-mint copy — a 15× premium as of Jul 11, 2026.

Which grading company is best for Tom Brady #154?

By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $120, ahead of PSA 10 at $92.50. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.

What centering does Tom Brady #154 need for a BGS 10?

BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.

What gem rate makes grading Tom Brady #154 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Tom Brady #154 breaks even when it gems about 42% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $29.66).

Is your football card centered well enough to grade?

Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.

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