Is Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 1999 Finest · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 sells for $84.00 against $33.89 raw: a $50.11 spread, 2.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($76.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $33.89
Grade 9.5: $84.00
PSA 9: $76.00
Gem premium: 2.5×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$84.00	+$25.11	+$0.11	−$99.89
PSA 9	$76.00	+$17.11	−$7.89	−$108

Net = sale price − $33.89 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$78.00	−$5.89
50%	$80.00	−$3.89
75%	$82.00	−$1.89

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 99%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$84.00
9	$76.00

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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Grading Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 — FAQ

Is Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 worth grading?

What gem rate makes grading Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Kevin Willis [Gold Refractor] #2 breaks even when it gems about 99% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $76.00).

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