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Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 (Hockey Cards 2023 Upper Deck) — is it worth grading?

Is Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 worth grading?

Hockey · Hockey Cards 2023 Upper Deck · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 brings $2,969 versus $2,692 raw — a $277 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($2,699) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming.

Raw (NM)
$2,692
Grade 9.5
$2,969
PSA 9
$2,699
Gem premium
1.1×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$2,969+$252+$227+$127
PSA 9$2,699−$18.36−$43.36−$143

Net = sale price − $2,692 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$2,767+$24.14
50%$2,834+$91.64
75%$2,902+$159

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 16%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$2,969
9$2,699

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Grading Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 — FAQ

Is Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 brings $2,969 versus $2,692 raw — a $277 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($2,699) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming.

What gem rate makes grading Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Connor Bedard [Speckled Rainbow] #451 breaks even when it gems about 16% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $2,699).

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