Is Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 worth grading?
Hockey · Hockey Cards 2023 Upper Deck Allure Bar Down · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 sells for $525 against $438 raw: a $86.54 spread, 1.2× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($477) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $438
- Grade 9.5
- $525
- PSA 9
- $477
- Gem premium
- 1.2×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $525 | +$61.54 | +$36.54 | −$63.46 |
| PSA 9 | $477 | +$13.57 | −$11.43 | −$111 |
Net = sale price − $438 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $489 | +$0.56 |
| 50% | $501 | +$12.56 |
| 75% | $513 | +$24.55 |
Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 24%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.
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Raw conditions & history →Run your own numbers
Should I pay this?
Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.
Other 2023 Upper Deck Allure Bar Down cards worth checking
Full set checklist →![Connor Bedard [Green] #BD-10 2023 Upper Deck Allure Bar Down card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/LQgAAeSwmIRquaLS/s-l500.jpg)
![Connor Bedard [Red] #BD-10 2023 Upper Deck Allure Bar Down card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/CXwAAeSw~3hqos~Q/s-l500.jpg)
Grading Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 — FAQ
Is Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 sells for $525 against $438 raw: a $86.54 spread, 1.2× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($477) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
What gem rate makes grading Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 break even?
At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Connor Bedard [Autograph] #BD-10 breaks even when it gems about 24% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $477).
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