Is Connor Bedard [Exclusive] #451 worth grading?

Hockey · Hockey Cards 2023 Upper Deck · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Connor Bedard [Exclusive] #451 sells for $5,020 against $3,200 raw: a $1,820 spread, 1.6× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($4,564) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $3,200
Grade 9.5: $5,020
PSA 9: $4,564
Gem premium: 1.6×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Connor Bedard [Exclusive] #451: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$5,020	+$1,795	+$1,770	+$1,670
PSA 9	$4,564	+$1,339	+$1,314	+$1,214
PSA 8	$3,155	−$70.12	−$95.12	−$195

Net = sale price − $3,200 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Connor Bedard [Exclusive] #451: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$4,678	+$1,428
50%	$4,792	+$1,542
75%	$4,906	+$1,656

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Connor Bedard [Exclusive] #451 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$5,020
9	$4,564
8	$3,155
7	$2,524

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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