Is Shohei Ohtani [Superfractor] #20 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2023 Topps Heritage · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Shohei Ohtani [Superfractor] #20 sell for $4,345, only $0.00 above the $6,999 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($3,950) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $6,999
Grade 9.5: $4,345
PSA 9: $3,950
Gem premium: 0.6×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Shohei Ohtani [Superfractor] #20: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$4,345	−$2,679	−$2,704	−$2,804
PSA 9	$3,950	−$3,074	−$3,099	−$3,199

Net = sale price − $6,999 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Shohei Ohtani [Superfractor] #20: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$4,049	−$3,000
50%	$4,148	−$2,902
75%	$4,246	−$2,803

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Shohei Ohtani [Superfractor] #20 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$4,345
9	$3,950

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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