Is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. [Lava] #UFOA-VG worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2022 Bowman's Best UFO Autographs · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. [Lava] #UFOA-VG sell for $115, only $0.00 above the $170 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($105) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $170
Grade 9.5: $115
PSA 9: $105
Gem premium: 0.7×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. [Lava] #UFOA-VG: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$115	−$80.00	−$105	−$205
PSA 9	$105	−$90.44	−$115	−$215

Net = sale price − $170 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. [Lava] #UFOA-VG: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$107	−$113
50%	$110	−$110
75%	$112	−$108

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. [Lava] #UFOA-VG graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$115
9	$105

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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