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Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB (Baseball Cards 2022 Bowman's Best UFO Autographs) — is it worth grading?

Is Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2022 Bowman's Best UFO Autographs · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB brings $285 versus $164 raw — a $121 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($129) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

Raw (NM)
$164
Grade 9.5
$285
PSA 9
$129
Gem premium
1.7×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$285+$95.93+$70.93−$29.07
PSA 9$129−$59.67−$84.67−$185

Net = sale price − $164 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$168−$45.77
50%$207−$6.87
75%$246+$32.03

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 54%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$285
9$129

Run your own numbers

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Grading Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB — FAQ

Is Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB brings $285 versus $164 raw — a $121 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($129) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

What gem rate makes grading Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Joshua Baez [Lava] #UFOA-JB breaks even when it gems about 54% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $129).

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