Is Julio Rodriguez [Lava] #UFO-4 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2022 Bowman's Best UFO · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Julio Rodriguez [Lava] #UFO-4 sell for $106, only $0.00 above the $114 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($96.01) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $114
Grade 9.5: $106
PSA 9: $96.01
Gem premium: 0.9×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Julio Rodriguez [Lava] #UFO-4: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$106	−$32.55	−$57.55	−$158
PSA 9	$96.01	−$42.54	−$67.54	−$168

Net = sale price − $114 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Julio Rodriguez [Lava] #UFO-4: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$98.51	−$65.04
50%	$101	−$62.55
75%	$104	−$60.05

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Julio Rodriguez [Lava] #UFO-4 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$106
9	$96.01

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

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