Is Geno Smith [Forest Camo] #254 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2022 Panini Prizm · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Geno Smith [Forest Camo] #254 sells for $44.00 against $12.55 raw: a $31.45 spread, 3.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($40.23) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $12.55
Grade 9.5: $44.00
PSA 9: $40.23
Gem premium: 3.5×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Geno Smith [Forest Camo] #254: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$44.00	+$6.45	−$18.55	−$119
PSA 9	$40.23	+$2.68	−$22.32	−$122

Net = sale price − $12.55 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Geno Smith [Forest Camo] #254: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$41.17	−$21.38
50%	$42.11	−$20.44
75%	$43.06	−$19.49

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Geno Smith [Forest Camo] #254 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$44.00
9	$40.23

Run your own numbers

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Asking priceGrading fee

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