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Is Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18 worth grading?

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Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9 copies of Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18 sell for $2.25, only $1.21 above the $1.04 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($2.25) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM)
$1.04
Grade 9
$2.25
PSA 9
$2.25
Gem premium
2.2×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9$2.25−$23.79−$48.79−$149
PSA 9$2.25−$23.79−$48.79−$149

Net = sale price − $1.04 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$2.25−$48.79
50%$2.25−$48.79
75%$2.25−$48.79

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$2.00
9$2.25

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Grading Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18 — FAQ

Is Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18 worth grading?

Grade 9 copies of Francisco Alvarez #PDC-18 sell for $2.25, only $1.21 above the $1.04 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($2.25) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

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