Is Jon Jones [Gold Shimmer] #4 worth grading?

UFC · Ufc Cards 2022 Panini Prizm UFC · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Jon Jones [Gold Shimmer] #4 sell for $466, only $0.00 above the $800 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($424) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $800
Grade 9.5: $466
PSA 9: $424
Gem premium: 0.6×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Jon Jones [Gold Shimmer] #4: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$466	−$359	−$384	−$484
PSA 9	$424	−$401	−$426	−$526
PSA 8	$385	−$440	−$465	−$565

Net = sale price − $800 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Jon Jones [Gold Shimmer] #4: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$435	−$416
50%	$445	−$405
75%	$456	−$395

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Jon Jones [Gold Shimmer] #4 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$466
9	$424
8	$385

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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