Is Pat Tillman [Cracked Ice Ticket] #1 worth grading?

Football · Football Cards 2019 Panini Contenders · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Pat Tillman [Cracked Ice Ticket] #1 sell for $168, only $0.00 above the $183 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($153) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $183
Grade 9.5: $168
PSA 9: $153
Gem premium: 0.9×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Pat Tillman [Cracked Ice Ticket] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$168	−$39.64	−$64.64	−$165
PSA 9	$153	−$55.13	−$80.13	−$180

Net = sale price − $183 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Pat Tillman [Cracked Ice Ticket] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$156	−$76.26
50%	$160	−$72.38
75%	$164	−$68.51

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Pat Tillman [Cracked Ice Ticket] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$168
9	$153

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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