![Luka Doncic [Blue Cracked Ice] #3 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Contenders Optic Lottery Ticket) — is it worth grading?](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/uVQAAOSwIrBnzmNO/s-l1600.jpg)
Is Luka Doncic [Blue Cracked Ice] #3 worth grading?
Basketball · Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Contenders Optic Lottery Ticket · full price guide →
Grading rarely pays for this card
Grade 9.5 copies of Luka Doncic [Blue Cracked Ice] #3 sell for $202, only $12.12 above the $190 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($184) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.
- Raw (NM)
- $190
- Grade 9.5
- $202
- PSA 9
- $184
- Gem premium
- 1.1×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $202 | −$12.88 | −$37.88 | −$138 |
| PSA 9 | $184 | −$31.07 | −$56.07 | −$156 |
Net = sale price − $190 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $188 | −$51.52 |
| 50% | $193 | −$46.97 |
| 75% | $197 | −$42.43 |
At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.
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Grading Luka Doncic [Blue Cracked Ice] #3 — FAQ
Is Luka Doncic [Blue Cracked Ice] #3 worth grading?
Grade 9.5 copies of Luka Doncic [Blue Cracked Ice] #3 sell for $202, only $12.12 above the $190 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($184) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.
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