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Is Tim Duncan #1 AR worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 1997 Ultra All-Rookies · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Tim Duncan #1 AR sells for $45.00 against $5.00 raw: a $40.00 spread, 9.0× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($32.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$5.00
Grade 9.5
$45.00
PSA 9
$32.00
Gem premium
9.0×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Tim Duncan #1 AR: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$45.00+$15.00−$10.00−$110
PSA 9$32.00+$2.00−$23.00−$123
PSA 8$11.63−$18.37−$43.37−$143

Net = sale price − $5.00 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Tim Duncan #1 AR: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$35.25−$19.75
50%$38.50−$16.50
75%$41.75−$13.25

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Tim Duncan #1 AR graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$45.00
9$32.00
8$11.63
7$9.00

Run your own numbers

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Grading Tim Duncan #1 AR — FAQ

Is Tim Duncan #1 AR worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Tim Duncan #1 AR sells for $45.00 against $5.00 raw: a $40.00 spread, 9.0× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($32.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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