Is Jarred Kelenic [Black] #US302 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2021 Topps Update · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Jarred Kelenic [Black] #US302 sells for $303 against $26.25 raw: a $277 spread, 12× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($275) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $26.25
Grade 9.5: $303
PSA 9: $275
Gem premium: 12×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Jarred Kelenic [Black] #US302: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$303	+$252	+$227	+$127
PSA 9	$275	+$224	+$199	+$98.75
PSA 8	$250	+$199	+$174	+$73.75

Net = sale price − $26.25 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Jarred Kelenic [Black] #US302: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$282	+$206
50%	$289	+$213
75%	$296	+$220

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Jarred Kelenic [Black] #US302 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$303
9	$275
8	$250

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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