Is Alec Regula [UD Exclusives] #478 worth grading?

Hockey · Hockey Cards 2020 Upper Deck · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Alec Regula [UD Exclusives] #478 sell for $4.00, only $0.00 above the $6.60 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($3.34) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $6.60
Grade 9.5: $4.00
PSA 9: $3.34
Gem premium: 0.6×
As of: Sep 2, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Alec Regula [UD Exclusives] #478: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$4.00	−$27.60	−$52.60	−$153
PSA 9	$3.34	−$28.26	−$53.26	−$153

Net = sale price − $6.60 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Alec Regula [UD Exclusives] #478: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$3.50	−$53.09
50%	$3.67	−$52.93
75%	$3.83	−$52.77

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Alec Regula [UD Exclusives] #478 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$4.00
9	$3.34

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.

Other 2020 Upper Deck cards worth checking

Full set checklist →

Jason Robertson [French] #235

Raw $24.16PSA 10 $388

Joseph Woll [Speckled Rainbow] #208

Raw $38.57PSA 10 $356

Stuart Skinner [Clear Cut] #496

Raw $44.22PSA 10 $330

Stuart Skinner [Silver Foil] #496

Raw $41.86PSA 10 $225

Kirill Kaprizov [Speckled Rainbow] #451