Is Alex Kirilloff [Vintage Stock] #413 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2021 Topps · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Alex Kirilloff [Vintage Stock] #413 sell for $29.00, only $18.60 above the $10.40 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($26.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $10.40
Grade 9.5: $29.00
PSA 9: $26.00
Gem premium: 2.8×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Alex Kirilloff [Vintage Stock] #413: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$29.00	−$6.40	−$31.40	−$131
PSA 9	$26.00	−$9.40	−$34.40	−$134

Net = sale price − $10.40 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Alex Kirilloff [Vintage Stock] #413: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$26.75	−$33.65
50%	$27.50	−$32.90
75%	$28.25	−$32.15

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Alex Kirilloff [Vintage Stock] #413 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$29.00
9	$26.00

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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