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Is Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2013 Topps Heritage Chrome · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18 sells for $49.00 against $3.24 raw: a $45.76 spread, 15× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($44.99) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$3.24
Grade 9.5
$49.00
PSA 9
$44.99
Gem premium
15×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$49.00+$20.76−$4.24−$104
PSA 9$44.99+$16.75−$8.25−$108

Net = sale price − $3.24 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$45.99−$7.25
50%$47.00−$6.24
75%$48.00−$5.24

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$49.00
9$44.99

Run your own numbers

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Grading Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18 — FAQ

Is Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Matt Cain [Black Refractor] #HC18 sells for $49.00 against $3.24 raw: a $45.76 spread, 15× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($44.99) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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