Is Mike Trout [Black] #446 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2012 Topps · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Mike Trout [Black] #446 sell for $562, only $0.00 above the $2,000 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($511) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $2,000
Grade 9.5: $562
PSA 9: $511
Gem premium: 0.3×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Mike Trout [Black] #446: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$562	−$1,463	−$1,488	−$1,588
PSA 9	$511	−$1,514	−$1,539	−$1,639

Net = sale price − $2,000 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Mike Trout [Black] #446: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$524	−$1,526
50%	$537	−$1,513
75%	$549	−$1,501

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Mike Trout [Black] #446 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$562
9	$511

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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