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Is YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2012 Topps Chrome · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151 sells for $275 against $187 raw: a $88.50 spread, 1.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($250) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$187
Grade 9.5
$275
PSA 9
$250
Gem premium
1.5×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$275+$63.50+$38.50−$61.50
PSA 9$250+$38.50+$13.50−$86.50

Net = sale price − $187 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$256+$19.75
50%$263+$26.00
75%$269+$32.25

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$275
9$250

Run your own numbers

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Grading YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151 — FAQ

Is YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 YU Darvish [Arm Back Blue Refractor Autograph] #151 sells for $275 against $187 raw: a $88.50 spread, 1.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($250) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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