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Is Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2007 Bowman Sterling · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL brings $175 versus $148 raw — a $27.88 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($121) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

Raw (NM)
$148
Grade 9.5
$175
PSA 9
$121
Gem premium
1.2×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$175+$2.88−$22.12−$122
PSA 9$121−$51.10−$76.10−$176

Net = sale price − $148 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$135−$62.60
50%$148−$49.11
75%$162−$35.62

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$175
9$121

Run your own numbers

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Grading Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL — FAQ

Is Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Tim Lincecum [Autograph Refractor] #BS-TL brings $175 versus $148 raw — a $27.88 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($121) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

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