Is Matt Williams [Red Refractor] #8 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 1994 Bowman's Best · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Matt Williams [Red Refractor] #8 sells for $99.00 against $3.52 raw: a $95.48 spread, 28× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($89.99) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $3.52
Grade 9.5: $99.00
PSA 9: $89.99
Gem premium: 28×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Matt Williams [Red Refractor] #8: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$99.00	+$70.48	+$45.48	−$54.52
PSA 9	$89.99	+$61.47	+$36.47	−$63.53

Net = sale price − $3.52 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Matt Williams [Red Refractor] #8: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$92.24	+$38.72
50%	$94.50	+$40.98
75%	$96.75	+$43.23

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

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Raw conditions & history →

Matt Williams [Red Refractor] #8 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$99.00
9	$89.99

Run your own numbers

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