Is Mike Trout [Independence Day] #1 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2020 Topps · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Mike Trout [Independence Day] #1 sells for $386 against $105 raw: a $281 spread, 3.7× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($351) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $105
Grade 9.5: $386
PSA 9: $351
Gem premium: 3.7×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Mike Trout [Independence Day] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$386	+$256	+$231	+$131
PSA 9	$351	+$221	+$196	+$96.09
PSA 8	$60.00	−$70.00	−$95.00	−$195

Net = sale price − $105 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Mike Trout [Independence Day] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$360	+$205
50%	$369	+$214
75%	$377	+$222

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Mike Trout [Independence Day] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$386
9	$351
8	$60.00

Run your own numbers

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Asking priceGrading fee

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