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Is Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2019 Topps Holiday Bowman · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO sells for $49.00 against $15.74 raw: a $33.26 spread, 3.1× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($44.50) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$15.74
Grade 9.5
$49.00
PSA 9
$44.50
Gem premium
3.1×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$49.00+$8.26−$16.74−$117
PSA 9$44.50+$3.76−$21.24−$121
PSA 8$42.06+$1.32−$23.68−$124

Net = sale price − $15.74 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$45.63−$20.12
50%$46.75−$18.99
75%$47.88−$17.87

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$49.00
9$44.50
8$42.06

Run your own numbers

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Grading Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO — FAQ

Is Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Shohei Ohtani [Blue Festive] #TH-SO sells for $49.00 against $15.74 raw: a $33.26 spread, 3.1× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($44.50) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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