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Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 (Basketball Cards 2006 Bowman Chrome) — is it worth grading?

Is Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2006 Bowman Chrome · full price guide →

Strong grading candidate — 3.6× premium in Grade 9.5

A Grade 9.5 Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 sells for $585 against $164 raw: a $421 spread, 3.6× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($89.60) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$164
Grade 9.5
$585
PSA 9
$89.60
Gem premium
3.6×
As of
Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$585+$396+$371+$271
PSA 9$89.60−$99.51−$125−$225
PSA 8$50.00−$139−$164−$264

Net = sale price − $164 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$213−$0.66
50%$337+$123
75%$461+$247

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 25%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$585
9$89.60
8$50.00

Run your own numbers

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Grading Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 — FAQ

Is Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 sells for $585 against $164 raw: a $421 spread, 3.6× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($89.60) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

What gem rate makes grading Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Tim Duncan [Gold Refractor] #20 breaks even when it gems about 25% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $89.60).

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