![Luka Doncic [Cracked Ice] #3 (Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Contenders Lottery Ticket) — is it worth grading?](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/uVQAAOSwIrBnzmNO/s-l1600.jpg)
Is Luka Doncic [Cracked Ice] #3 worth grading?
Basketball · Basketball Cards 2018 Panini Contenders Lottery Ticket · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Luka Doncic [Cracked Ice] #3 sells for $239 against $125 raw: a $114 spread, 1.9× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($217) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $125
- Grade 9.5
- $239
- PSA 9
- $217
- Gem premium
- 1.9×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $239 | +$89.00 | +$64.00 | −$36.00 |
| PSA 9 | $217 | +$67.35 | +$42.35 | −$57.65 |
| PSA 8 | $180 | +$30.28 | +$5.28 | −$94.72 |
Net = sale price − $125 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $223 | +$47.76 |
| 50% | $228 | +$53.18 |
| 75% | $234 | +$58.59 |
Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.
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Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.
Other 2018 Panini Contenders Lottery Ticket cards worth checking
Full set checklist →
![Luka Doncic [Retail] #3 2018 Panini Contenders Lottery Ticket card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/nOUAAeSwiodqdJIf/s-l500.jpg)
![Trae Young [Cracked Ice] #5 2018 Panini Contenders Lottery Ticket card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/XMIAAeSwEP1o9~FX/s-l500.jpg)
![Shai Gilgeous Alexander [Cracked Ice] #11 2018 Panini Contenders Lottery Ticket card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/6kcAAeSw8iNonrkZ/s-l500.jpg)
Grading Luka Doncic [Cracked Ice] #3 — FAQ
Is Luka Doncic [Cracked Ice] #3 worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Luka Doncic [Cracked Ice] #3 sells for $239 against $125 raw: a $114 spread, 1.9× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($217) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
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