![Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout [Independence Day] #US158 (Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Update) — is it worth grading?](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/JpUAAeSw19lqezod/s-l1600.jpg)
Is Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout [Independence Day] #US158 worth grading?
Baseball · Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Update · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout [Independence Day] #US158 sells for $4,400 against $263 raw: a $4,138 spread, 17× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($4,000) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $263
- Grade 9.5
- $4,400
- PSA 9
- $4,000
- Gem premium
- 17×
- As of
- Sep 3, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $4,400 | +$4,113 | +$4,088 | +$3,988 |
| PSA 9 | $4,000 | +$3,713 | +$3,688 | +$3,588 |
| PSA 8 | $467 | +$180 | +$155 | +$54.50 |
Net = sale price − $263 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $4,100 | +$3,788 |
| 50% | $4,200 | +$3,888 |
| 75% | $4,300 | +$3,988 |
Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.
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Grading Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout [Independence Day] #US158 — FAQ
Is Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout [Independence Day] #US158 worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Justin Upton / Shohei Ohtani / Mike Trout [Independence Day] #US158 sells for $4,400 against $263 raw: a $4,138 spread, 17× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($4,000) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
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