Is Ichiro / Shohei Ohtani [Negative] #US153 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Update · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Ichiro / Shohei Ohtani [Negative] #US153 sell for $72.00, only $0.00 above the $1,307 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($65.00) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $1,307
Grade 9.5: $72.00
PSA 9: $65.00
Gem premium: 0.1×
As of: Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Ichiro / Shohei Ohtani [Negative] #US153: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$72.00	−$1,260	−$1,285	−$1,385
PSA 9	$65.00	−$1,267	−$1,292	−$1,392

Net = sale price − $1,307 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Ichiro / Shohei Ohtani [Negative] #US153: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$66.75	−$1,290
50%	$68.50	−$1,288
75%	$70.25	−$1,287

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Ichiro / Shohei Ohtani [Negative] #US153 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$72.00
9	$65.00

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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