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Austin Riley #TH-AR (Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Holiday Bowman) — is it worth grading?

Is Austin Riley #TH-AR worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Holiday Bowman · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Austin Riley #TH-AR sell for $28.00, only $23.88 above the $4.12 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($25.55) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM)
$4.12
Grade 9.5
$28.00
PSA 9
$25.55
Gem premium
6.8×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Austin Riley #TH-AR: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$28.00−$1.12−$26.12−$126
PSA 9$25.55−$3.57−$28.57−$129

Net = sale price − $4.12 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Austin Riley #TH-AR: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$26.16−$27.96
50%$26.77−$27.35
75%$27.39−$26.73

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Austin Riley #TH-AR graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$28.00
9$25.55

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Other 2018 Topps Holiday Bowman cards worth checking

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Grading Austin Riley #TH-AR — FAQ

Is Austin Riley #TH-AR worth grading?

Grade 9.5 copies of Austin Riley #TH-AR sell for $28.00, only $23.88 above the $4.12 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($25.55) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

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