![Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 (Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Chrome Update) — is it worth grading?](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/AcoAAeSwzp1p3LBj/s-l1600.jpg)
Is Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 worth grading?
Baseball · Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Chrome Update · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A PSA 10 Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 sells for $6,500 against $349 raw: a $6,151 spread, 19× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($4,100) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $349
- PSA 10
- $6,500
- PSA 9
- $4,100
- Gem premium
- 19×
- As of
- Jul 11, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — PSA 10 | $6,500 | +$6,126 | +$6,101 | +$6,001 |
| PSA 9 | $4,100 | +$3,726 | +$3,701 | +$3,601 |
| PSA 8 | $358 | −$16.25 | −$41.25 | −$141 |
Net = sale price − $349 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $4,700 | +$4,301 |
| 50% | $5,300 | +$4,901 |
| 75% | $5,900 | +$5,501 |
Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.
Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes
All centering standards →| Grader | 10 sells for | vs best | Front centering for a 10 | Back |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGS 10 | $8,450 | best | 55/45 | 70/30 |
| PSA 10 | $6,500 | −$1,950 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| CGC 10 | $3,900 | −$4,550 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| SGC 10 | $3,900 | −$4,550 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.
Full grade ladder
Raw conditions & history →| Grade | PSA | CGC | BGS | SGC | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | $6,500 | $3,900 | $8,450 | $3,900 | — |
| 9.5 | — | — | — | — | $4,510 |
| 9 | — | — | — | — | $4,100 |
| 8 | — | — | — | — | $358 |
Run your own numbers
Should I pay this?
Enter the seller’s asking price to see your net outcome per grade.
Other 2018 Topps Chrome Update cards worth checking
Full set checklist →![Shohei Ohtani [Red Refractor] #HMT1 2018 Topps Chrome Update card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/7OcAAeSwC~ZqWbEt/s-l500.jpg)
![Shohei Ohtani [Pink Refractor] #HMT1 2018 Topps Chrome Update card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/MzUAAeSw9JZqMb6S/s-l500.jpg)
![Juan Soto [Pink Refractor] #HMT55 2018 Topps Chrome Update card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/HFIAAeSwKzZqY7Z7/s-l500.jpg)
![Shohei Ohtani [Pink Refractor] #HMT32 2018 Topps Chrome Update card](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/M4QAAeSwHWVqSDLK/s-l500.jpg)
Grading Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 — FAQ
Is Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 worth grading?
A PSA 10 Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 sells for $6,500 against $349 raw: a $6,151 spread, 19× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($4,100) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
How much is a PSA 10 Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 worth compared with raw?
A PSA 10 Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 (Baseball Cards 2018 Topps Chrome Update) sells for about $6,500 versus $349 for a raw near-mint copy — a 19× premium as of Jul 11, 2026.
Which grading company is best for Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1?
By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $8,450, ahead of PSA 10 at $6,500. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.
What centering does Shohei Ohtani [Refractor] #HMT1 need for a BGS 10?
BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.
Is your baseball card centered well enough to grade?
Centering makes or breaks a PSA 10. Scan any card with Midpoint to measure its exact centering, get a grade estimate, and see what your copy is actually worth.
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