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Is Jay Williams [Refractor] #54 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2002 Topps Pristine · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Jay Williams [Refractor] #54 sell for $12.00, only $6.35 above the $5.65 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($10.57) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM)
$5.65
Grade 9.5
$12.00
PSA 9
$10.57
Gem premium
2.1×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Jay Williams [Refractor] #54: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$12.00−$18.65−$43.65−$144
PSA 9$10.57−$20.08−$45.08−$145

Net = sale price − $5.65 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Jay Williams [Refractor] #54: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$10.93−$44.72
50%$11.29−$44.37
75%$11.64−$44.01

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Jay Williams [Refractor] #54 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$12.00
9$10.57

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Grading Jay Williams [Refractor] #54 — FAQ

Is Jay Williams [Refractor] #54 worth grading?

Grade 9.5 copies of Jay Williams [Refractor] #54 sell for $12.00, only $6.35 above the $5.65 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($10.57) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

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