Is Dirk Nowitzki #115 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2002 SP Authentic · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Dirk Nowitzki #115 sell for $23.00, only $18.11 above the $4.89 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($21.17) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM): $4.89
Grade 9.5: $23.00
PSA 9: $21.17
Gem premium: 4.7×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Dirk Nowitzki #115: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$23.00	−$6.89	−$31.89	−$132
PSA 9	$21.17	−$8.72	−$33.72	−$134

Net = sale price − $4.89 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Dirk Nowitzki #115: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$21.63	−$33.26
50%	$22.09	−$32.80
75%	$22.54	−$32.35

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Dirk Nowitzki #115 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$23.00
9	$21.17

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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