Is Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH worth grading?
Baseball · Baseball Cards 2015 Bowman's Best of Autographs · full price guide →
Strong grading candidate — 3.3× premium in Grade 9.5
A Grade 9.5 Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH sells for $76.30 against $22.79 raw: a $53.51 spread, 3.3× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($40.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $22.79
- Grade 9.5
- $76.30
- PSA 9
- $40.00
- Gem premium
- 3.3×
- As of
- Sep 3, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $76.30 | +$28.51 | +$3.51 | −$96.49 |
| PSA 9 | $40.00 | −$7.79 | −$32.79 | −$133 |
Net = sale price − $22.79 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $49.08 | −$23.71 |
| 50% | $58.15 | −$14.64 |
| 75% | $67.22 | −$5.57 |
Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 90%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.
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Grading Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH — FAQ
Is Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH sells for $76.30 against $22.79 raw: a $53.51 spread, 3.3× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($40.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
What gem rate makes grading Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH break even?
At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Matt Chapman [Orange Refractor] #MCH breaks even when it gems about 90% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $40.00).
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