Is Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 worth grading?

Baseball · Baseball Cards 2015 Bowman's Best · full price guide →

Worth grading only if it gems

A Grade 9.5 Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 brings $195 versus $105 raw — a $90.00 spread that covers an economy-tier ~$25 grading fee. A PSA 9 ($37.61) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money.

Raw (NM): $105
Grade 9.5: $195
PSA 9: $37.61
Gem premium: 1.9×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$195	+$65.00	+$40.00	−$60.00
PSA 9	$37.61	−$92.39	−$117	−$217

Net = sale price − $105 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$76.96	−$78.04
50%	$116	−$38.69
75%	$156	+$0.65

Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 75%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$195
9	$37.61

Run your own numbers

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Asking priceGrading fee

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Grading Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 — FAQ

Is Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 worth grading?

What gem rate makes grading Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 break even?

At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Mike Trout [Orange Refractor] #1 breaks even when it gems about 75% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $37.61).

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