Is Josh Smith [Blue XFractor Autograph] #164 worth grading?
Basketball · Basketball Cards 2004 Finest · full price guide →
Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw
A Grade 9.5 Josh Smith [Blue XFractor Autograph] #164 sells for $56.00 against $12.55 raw: a $43.45 spread, 4.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($51.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $12.55
- Grade 9.5
- $56.00
- PSA 9
- $51.00
- Gem premium
- 4.5×
- As of
- Sep 3, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — Grade 9.5 | $56.00 | +$18.45 | −$6.55 | −$107 |
| PSA 9 | $51.00 | +$13.45 | −$11.55 | −$112 |
| PSA 8 | $36.00 | −$1.55 | −$26.55 | −$127 |
Net = sale price − $12.55 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $52.25 | −$10.30 |
| 50% | $53.50 | −$9.05 |
| 75% | $54.75 | −$7.80 |
At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.
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Grading Josh Smith [Blue XFractor Autograph] #164 — FAQ
Is Josh Smith [Blue XFractor Autograph] #164 worth grading?
A Grade 9.5 Josh Smith [Blue XFractor Autograph] #164 sells for $56.00 against $12.55 raw: a $43.45 spread, 4.5× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($51.00) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
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