Is Mehmet Okur [Black Refractor] #44 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2004 Finest · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Mehmet Okur [Black Refractor] #44 sells for $660 against $5.26 raw: a $655 spread, 125× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($600) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM): $5.26
Grade 9.5: $660
PSA 9: $600
Gem premium: 125×
As of: Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Mehmet Okur [Black Refractor] #44: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…	Sells for	Economy / bulk (~$25.00)	Standard (~$50.00)	Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5	$660	+$630	+$605	+$505
PSA 9	$600	+$570	+$545	+$445

Net = sale price − $5.26 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Mehmet Okur [Black Refractor] #44: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gems	Expected sale	Expected net (standard fee)
25%	$615	+$560
50%	$630	+$575
75%	$645	+$590

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Full grade ladder

Raw conditions & history →

Mehmet Okur [Black Refractor] #44 graded prices by company and grade
Grade	Graded
9.5	$660
9	$600

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

Asking priceGrading fee

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