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Is Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2005 Finest · full price guide →

Worth grading — even a PSA 9 beats raw

A Grade 9.5 Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139 sells for $116 against $19.99 raw: a $96.01 spread, 5.8× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($105) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

Raw (NM)
$19.99
Grade 9.5
$116
PSA 9
$105
Gem premium
5.8×
As of
Sep 3, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$116+$71.01+$46.01−$53.99
PSA 9$105+$60.22+$35.22−$64.78
PSA 8$100+$55.01+$30.01−$69.99

Net = sale price − $19.99 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$108+$37.92
50%$111+$40.61
75%$113+$43.31

Even a miss (a 9) beats selling raw after the standard fee — the gem rate only decides how much you win by.

Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$116
9$105
8$100

Run your own numbers

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Grading Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139 — FAQ

Is Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139 worth grading?

A Grade 9.5 Deron Williams [Autograph Refractor] #139 sells for $116 against $19.99 raw: a $96.01 spread, 5.8× the ungraded price. Even a PSA 9 ($105) clears the raw price after an economy-tier ~$25 fee, so a near-miss still comes out ahead. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.

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