Is Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 worth grading?
Basketball · Basketball Cards 2007 Finest · full price guide →
Strong grading candidate — 4.4× premium in PSA 10
A PSA 10 Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 sells for $119 against $27.01 raw: a $91.99 spread, 4.4× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($40.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
- Raw (NM)
- $27.01
- PSA 10
- $119
- PSA 9
- $40.00
- Gem premium
- 4.4×
- As of
- Sep 4, 2026
Break-even by outcome and fee
| If it comes back… | Sells for | Economy / bulk (~$25.00) | Standard (~$50.00) | Express (~$150) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem — PSA 10 | $119 | +$66.99 | +$41.99 | −$58.01 |
| PSA 9 | $40.00 | −$12.01 | −$37.01 | −$137 |
| PSA 8 | $24.50 | −$27.51 | −$52.51 | −$153 |
Net = sale price − $27.01 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.
Expected value — how often does it need to gem?
| Chance it gems | Expected sale | Expected net (standard fee) |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | $59.75 | −$17.26 |
| 50% | $79.50 | +$2.49 |
| 75% | $99.25 | +$22.24 |
Break-even gem rate at the standard fee: about 47%. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses — measure it before you decide.
Which grader pays the most — and what a 10 takes
All centering standards →| Grader | 10 sells for | vs best | Front centering for a 10 | Back |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGS 10 | $155 | best | 55/45 | 70/30 |
| PSA 10 | $119 | −$36.00 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| CGC 10 | $71.00 | −$84.00 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
| SGC 10 | $71.00 | −$84.00 | 55/45 | 75/25 |
Tolerances are each company's published centering standard for its top grade; surface, corners and edges must also be clean. Centering is the one you can measure yourself before you pay.
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Grading Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 — FAQ
Is Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 worth grading?
A PSA 10 Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 sells for $119 against $27.01 raw: a $91.99 spread, 4.4× the ungraded price. A PSA 9 ($40.00) only about breaks even after fees, so the case rests on gemming. Centering is the usual reason a clean copy misses the 10 — measure it before you submit.
How much is a PSA 10 Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 worth compared with raw?
A PSA 10 Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 (Basketball Cards 2007 Finest) sells for about $119 versus $27.01 for a raw near-mint copy — a 4.4× premium as of Sep 4, 2026.
Which grading company is best for Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4?
By resale value, BGS 10 leads at $155, ahead of PSA 10 at $119. Fees and turnaround differ, so the best-paying label is not always the best net.
What centering does Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 need for a BGS 10?
BGS publishes 55/45 front and 70/30 back centering as the tolerance for a 10 (Gem Mint). Off-center copies are capped below the top grade regardless of surface — measure yours before paying the fee.
What gem rate makes grading Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 break even?
At a standard ~$50 fee, submitting Dirk Nowitzki [Blue Refractor] #4 breaks even when it gems about 47% of the time (a miss assumed to sell at the PSA 9 price of $40.00).
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