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Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 (Basketball Cards 2007 Bowman Sterling) — is it worth grading?

Is Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 worth grading?

Basketball · Basketball Cards 2007 Bowman Sterling · full price guide →

Grading rarely pays for this card

Grade 9.5 copies of Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 sell for $79.00, only $0.00 above the $99.99 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($72.24) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

Raw (NM)
$99.99
Grade 9.5
$79.00
PSA 9
$72.24
Gem premium
0.8×
As of
Sep 4, 2026

Break-even by outcome and fee

Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1: net result of grading versus selling raw, by outcome and fee tier
If it comes back…Sells forEconomy / bulk (~$25.00)Standard (~$50.00)Express (~$150)
Gem — Grade 9.5$79.00−$45.99−$70.99−$171
PSA 9$72.24−$52.75−$77.75−$178

Net = sale price − $99.99 raw value − fee. Fee tiers are illustrative; plug your grader's current price into the calculator below.

Expected value — how often does it need to gem?

Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1: expected value of submitting by gem probability
Chance it gemsExpected saleExpected net (standard fee)
25%$73.93−$76.06
50%$75.62−$74.37
75%$77.31−$72.68

At the standard fee this submission does not break even at any realistic gem rate unless the miss lands above the 9 price.

Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 graded prices by company and grade
GradeGraded
9.5$79.00
9$72.24

Run your own numbers

Should I pay this?

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Other 2007 Bowman Sterling cards worth checking

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Grading Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 — FAQ

Is Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 worth grading?

Grade 9.5 copies of Mike Conley [Red Refractor] #MC1 sell for $79.00, only $0.00 above the $99.99 raw price — less than an economy-tier grading fee. A PSA 9 ($72.24) sells for less than raw, so anything short of a 10 loses money. Keep it raw unless you are grading for the slab itself.

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